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Genmab — August 2019

Planlagt Fastgjort Låst Flyttet Genmab
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  • StockBullS Offline
    StockBullS Offline
    StockBull
    wrote on sidst redigeret af
    #644

    Konsensus 734 mio. kr.

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    • K Offline
      K Offline
      kkjoel
      wrote on sidst redigeret af
      #645

      Fra Q1 Conference Call: Now we know where the rate is today. We can sort of assume where it's likely to go in Q2. Once it gets beyond that, we start looking out sort of 9 months, we know a year ago it was DKK 6.00. I don't know where that rate is going to be in the fourth quarter. And that's a very large portion of our revenue and of our operating result is based on those 2 milestones.

      Also to put into context, if you look at the first quarter, we had the DARZALEX sales and you will have seen

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      • K Offline
        K Offline
        kkjoel
        wrote on sidst redigeret af
        #646

        that the royalty income increased a lot more than the actual underlying base sales from Janssen. So in rough terms, we made about DKK 50 million extra on the FX gain on the royalty in Q1.

        But if you think about it, DKK 50 million on a total revenue over the year of DKK 4.6 billion at this stage it's not material. Then we'll continue to look at that. I mean we like to be transparent. We do put down the rates that we're using. And I know in some of the consensus numbers, people are assuming a

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        • K Offline
          K Offline
          kkjoel
          wrote on sidst redigeret af
          #647

          higher rate.

          The only last thing I'd point out is, don't forget that there is actually European sales of DARZALEX. Those are getting converted into U.S. dollars as Janssen's functional currency. And you will have seen that in the first quarter Janssen reported sales of DARZALEX rest of world increasing by 65%. But on a constant dollar basis, they said it would have been 80%.

          So you do have some sort of round-robin calculation there where you get European euro sales for DARZALEX getting

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          • K Offline
            K Offline
            kkjoel
            wrote on sidst redigeret af
            #648

            converted to U.S. dollars and then getting converted back to kroner which is basically the same as the euro. So just have to be a little careful not to double count the benefit there. But I'll leave it at that.

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            • K Offline
              K Offline
              kkjoel
              wrote on sidst redigeret af
              #649

              Sagt af David Eatwell. Det står da helt klart hvad hans holdning er...

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              • StockBullS Offline
                StockBullS Offline
                StockBull
                wrote on sidst redigeret af
                #650

                https://ir.genmab.com/news-releases/news-release-details/genmab-announces-financial-results-first-half-2019-and-updates

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                • StockBullS Offline
                  StockBullS Offline
                  StockBull
                  wrote on sidst redigeret af
                  #651

                  der er opjustering hehe

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                  • StockBullS Offline
                    StockBullS Offline
                    StockBull
                    wrote on sidst redigeret af
                    #652

                    MDKK Revised Guidance Previous
                    Guidance
                    Revenue 4,800 4,600
                    Operating expenses (2,750) (2,600)
                    Operating income 2,050 2,000

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                    • SolsenS Offline
                      SolsenS Offline
                      Solsen
                      wrote on sidst redigeret af
                      #653

                      50 mln

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                      • BulderB Offline
                        BulderB Offline
                        Bulder
                        wrote on sidst redigeret af
                        #654

                        nå ja lidt har osse ret

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                        • SolsenS Offline
                          SolsenS Offline
                          Solsen
                          wrote on sidst redigeret af
                          #655

                          Jo 2,5%

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                          • K Offline
                            K Offline
                            kkjoel
                            wrote on sidst redigeret af
                            #656

                            Den, pæne, europæiske klump af de 3 mia. vil IKKE give anledning til ændret $-indtjening. Og der er stadig tilpas stor usikkerhed vedr. $-kursen resten af H2.. hvor de 2 store salgsmilestones kommer.

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                            • A Offline
                              A Offline
                              AaBforever
                              wrote on sidst redigeret af
                              #657

                              Børsen har også opdaget det..:-)

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                              • StockBullS Offline
                                StockBullS Offline
                                StockBull
                                wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                #658

                                omsætning er opjusteret ca 4.5% så mon ikke 3mia darasalg er hjemme

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                                • SolsenS Offline
                                  SolsenS Offline
                                  Solsen
                                  wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                  #659

                                  150 mln i ekstra omk

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                                  • K Offline
                                    K Offline
                                    kkjoel
                                    wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                    #660

                                    En opjustering, ok - det overrasker mig - netop pga. af hvad han tidligere har sagt. Men læg mærke til det blot er en symbolsk opjustering.

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                                    • StockBullS Offline
                                      StockBullS Offline
                                      StockBull
                                      wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                      #661

                                      en tand bedre end jeg havde forventet

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                                      • S Offline
                                        S Offline
                                        Schiff
                                        wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                        #662

                                        Det positive er vel at opjusteringen er pga øget royalty indtjening, me
                                        n ja 50 mio ser ret ligegyldigt ud i det store billede

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                                        • K Offline
                                          K Offline
                                          kkjoel
                                          wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                          #663

                                          Anyway.. realitet slår forventning. Så godt gættet, dem der sagde opjustering. Og FY til David!! 😉

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