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Genmab — August 2019

Planlagt Fastgjort Låst Flyttet Genmab
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  • K Offline
    K Offline
    kkjoel
    wrote on sidst redigeret af
    #637

    Til gengæld er det så dejligt en strategi, at vi NÆSTEN 100% sikkert får et flottere årsresultat end forventet. I kr. Men nu er det jo sådan, at den altafgørende ting for GEN er hvad "grundsalget" (i $) kan nå at hæve sig til.

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    • K Offline
      K Offline
      kkjoel
      wrote on sidst redigeret af
      #638

      Og derfor er DKK-prognosen i bund og grund ret ligegyldig..

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      • D Offline
        D Offline
        Doublo
        wrote on sidst redigeret af
        #639

        Intet tyder på læk af resultater før luk, så langt så godt, der har ingen panikhandler været, kun 2 stk. 4cifrede handler i dag, 4225 og 1271. Mange har bragt sig i sikkerhed, reddes hvad reddes kan, kun den hårde kerne, der tror på Genmab uden slinger i valsen er er fortsat optimister på kort eller længer sigt!!

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        • A Offline
          A Offline
          AaBforever
          wrote on sidst redigeret af
          #640

          I hvert fald ikke læk af positive nyhe
          der..;-)

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          • SolsenS Offline
            SolsenS Offline
            Solsen
            wrote on sidst redigeret af
            #641

            Ligger i 1350 ...

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            • SolsenS Offline
              SolsenS Offline
              Solsen
              wrote on sidst redigeret af
              #642

              1310

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              • SolsenS Offline
                SolsenS Offline
                Solsen
                wrote on sidst redigeret af
                #643

                Dejlig bølgegang

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                • StockBullS Offline
                  StockBullS Offline
                  StockBull
                  wrote on sidst redigeret af
                  #644

                  Konsensus 734 mio. kr.

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                  • K Offline
                    K Offline
                    kkjoel
                    wrote on sidst redigeret af
                    #645

                    Fra Q1 Conference Call: Now we know where the rate is today. We can sort of assume where it's likely to go in Q2. Once it gets beyond that, we start looking out sort of 9 months, we know a year ago it was DKK 6.00. I don't know where that rate is going to be in the fourth quarter. And that's a very large portion of our revenue and of our operating result is based on those 2 milestones.

                    Also to put into context, if you look at the first quarter, we had the DARZALEX sales and you will have seen

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                    • K Offline
                      K Offline
                      kkjoel
                      wrote on sidst redigeret af
                      #646

                      that the royalty income increased a lot more than the actual underlying base sales from Janssen. So in rough terms, we made about DKK 50 million extra on the FX gain on the royalty in Q1.

                      But if you think about it, DKK 50 million on a total revenue over the year of DKK 4.6 billion at this stage it's not material. Then we'll continue to look at that. I mean we like to be transparent. We do put down the rates that we're using. And I know in some of the consensus numbers, people are assuming a

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                      • K Offline
                        K Offline
                        kkjoel
                        wrote on sidst redigeret af
                        #647

                        higher rate.

                        The only last thing I'd point out is, don't forget that there is actually European sales of DARZALEX. Those are getting converted into U.S. dollars as Janssen's functional currency. And you will have seen that in the first quarter Janssen reported sales of DARZALEX rest of world increasing by 65%. But on a constant dollar basis, they said it would have been 80%.

                        So you do have some sort of round-robin calculation there where you get European euro sales for DARZALEX getting

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                        • K Offline
                          K Offline
                          kkjoel
                          wrote on sidst redigeret af
                          #648

                          converted to U.S. dollars and then getting converted back to kroner which is basically the same as the euro. So just have to be a little careful not to double count the benefit there. But I'll leave it at that.

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                          • K Offline
                            K Offline
                            kkjoel
                            wrote on sidst redigeret af
                            #649

                            Sagt af David Eatwell. Det står da helt klart hvad hans holdning er...

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                            • StockBullS Offline
                              StockBullS Offline
                              StockBull
                              wrote on sidst redigeret af
                              #650

                              https://ir.genmab.com/news-releases/news-release-details/genmab-announces-financial-results-first-half-2019-and-updates

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                              • StockBullS Offline
                                StockBullS Offline
                                StockBull
                                wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                #651

                                der er opjustering hehe

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                                • StockBullS Offline
                                  StockBullS Offline
                                  StockBull
                                  wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                  #652

                                  MDKK Revised Guidance Previous
                                  Guidance
                                  Revenue 4,800 4,600
                                  Operating expenses (2,750) (2,600)
                                  Operating income 2,050 2,000

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                                  • SolsenS Offline
                                    SolsenS Offline
                                    Solsen
                                    wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                    #653

                                    50 mln

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                                    • BulderB Offline
                                      BulderB Offline
                                      Bulder
                                      wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                      #654

                                      nå ja lidt har osse ret

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                                      • SolsenS Offline
                                        SolsenS Offline
                                        Solsen
                                        wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                        #655

                                        Jo 2,5%

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                                        • K Offline
                                          K Offline
                                          kkjoel
                                          wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                          #656

                                          Den, pæne, europæiske klump af de 3 mia. vil IKKE give anledning til ændret $-indtjening. Og der er stadig tilpas stor usikkerhed vedr. $-kursen resten af H2.. hvor de 2 store salgsmilestones kommer.

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