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Genmab — August 2019

Planlagt Fastgjort Låst Flyttet Genmab
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  • SolsenS Offline
    SolsenS Offline
    Solsen
    wrote on sidst redigeret af
    #630

    Tror stadig de vil være 110% sikre på $3bn milestonen før der opjusteres. Men lidt frækt hvis de gør det allerede.

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    • S Offline
      S Offline
      Sukkeralf
      wrote on sidst redigeret af
      #631

      Meget frækt

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      • S Offline
        S Offline
        Sukkeralf
        wrote on sidst redigeret af
        #632

        Vi ved jo dybest set ikke hvor længe de har kalkuleret med at kunne sælge i 1. linie i år, så hvis et halvt år er nok til at de med sikkerhed når de 200-250 millioner dollars i salg grundet MAIA approval, så kan det være de opjusterer ! Kan ikke se de kan gøre de tpå baggrund af dolar kursen alene

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        • S Offline
          S Offline
          Sukkeralf
          wrote on sidst redigeret af
          #633

          ej heller på grund af dollar kursen

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          • SolsenS Offline
            SolsenS Offline
            Solsen
            wrote on sidst redigeret af
            #634

            Der kan jeg heller ikke følge Sydbank.

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            • K Offline
              K Offline
              kkjoel
              wrote on sidst redigeret af
              #635

              Nej, det er helt skævt. Det vil man forstår hvis man lytter blot en lille smule til hvad David har sagt tit.

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              • D Offline
                D Offline
                Doublo
                wrote on sidst redigeret af
                #636

                Meget kan tænkes opjustering, aktiesplit, salg, nye tiltag, kun fantasien sætter grænser for en jubel amatør som mig! men om 30 minutter skal der ikke gættes mere, så kommer der syn for sagen, krydser alt hvad der kan krydses!!

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                • K Offline
                  K Offline
                  kkjoel
                  wrote on sidst redigeret af
                  #637

                  Til gengæld er det så dejligt en strategi, at vi NÆSTEN 100% sikkert får et flottere årsresultat end forventet. I kr. Men nu er det jo sådan, at den altafgørende ting for GEN er hvad "grundsalget" (i $) kan nå at hæve sig til.

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                  • K Offline
                    K Offline
                    kkjoel
                    wrote on sidst redigeret af
                    #638

                    Og derfor er DKK-prognosen i bund og grund ret ligegyldig..

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                    • D Offline
                      D Offline
                      Doublo
                      wrote on sidst redigeret af
                      #639

                      Intet tyder på læk af resultater før luk, så langt så godt, der har ingen panikhandler været, kun 2 stk. 4cifrede handler i dag, 4225 og 1271. Mange har bragt sig i sikkerhed, reddes hvad reddes kan, kun den hårde kerne, der tror på Genmab uden slinger i valsen er er fortsat optimister på kort eller længer sigt!!

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                      • A Offline
                        A Offline
                        AaBforever
                        wrote on sidst redigeret af
                        #640

                        I hvert fald ikke læk af positive nyhe
                        der..;-)

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                        • SolsenS Offline
                          SolsenS Offline
                          Solsen
                          wrote on sidst redigeret af
                          #641

                          Ligger i 1350 ...

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                          • SolsenS Offline
                            SolsenS Offline
                            Solsen
                            wrote on sidst redigeret af
                            #642

                            1310

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                            • SolsenS Offline
                              SolsenS Offline
                              Solsen
                              wrote on sidst redigeret af
                              #643

                              Dejlig bølgegang

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                              • StockBullS Offline
                                StockBullS Offline
                                StockBull
                                wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                #644

                                Konsensus 734 mio. kr.

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                                • K Offline
                                  K Offline
                                  kkjoel
                                  wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                  #645

                                  Fra Q1 Conference Call: Now we know where the rate is today. We can sort of assume where it's likely to go in Q2. Once it gets beyond that, we start looking out sort of 9 months, we know a year ago it was DKK 6.00. I don't know where that rate is going to be in the fourth quarter. And that's a very large portion of our revenue and of our operating result is based on those 2 milestones.

                                  Also to put into context, if you look at the first quarter, we had the DARZALEX sales and you will have seen

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                                  • K Offline
                                    K Offline
                                    kkjoel
                                    wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                    #646

                                    that the royalty income increased a lot more than the actual underlying base sales from Janssen. So in rough terms, we made about DKK 50 million extra on the FX gain on the royalty in Q1.

                                    But if you think about it, DKK 50 million on a total revenue over the year of DKK 4.6 billion at this stage it's not material. Then we'll continue to look at that. I mean we like to be transparent. We do put down the rates that we're using. And I know in some of the consensus numbers, people are assuming a

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                                    • K Offline
                                      K Offline
                                      kkjoel
                                      wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                      #647

                                      higher rate.

                                      The only last thing I'd point out is, don't forget that there is actually European sales of DARZALEX. Those are getting converted into U.S. dollars as Janssen's functional currency. And you will have seen that in the first quarter Janssen reported sales of DARZALEX rest of world increasing by 65%. But on a constant dollar basis, they said it would have been 80%.

                                      So you do have some sort of round-robin calculation there where you get European euro sales for DARZALEX getting

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                                      • K Offline
                                        K Offline
                                        kkjoel
                                        wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                        #648

                                        converted to U.S. dollars and then getting converted back to kroner which is basically the same as the euro. So just have to be a little careful not to double count the benefit there. But I'll leave it at that.

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                                        • K Offline
                                          K Offline
                                          kkjoel
                                          wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                          #649

                                          Sagt af David Eatwell. Det står da helt klart hvad hans holdning er...

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