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Genmab — August 2019

Planlagt Fastgjort Låst Flyttet Genmab
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  • SolsenS Offline
    SolsenS Offline
    Solsen
    wrote on sidst redigeret af
    #643

    Dejlig bølgegang

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    • StockBullS Offline
      StockBullS Offline
      StockBull
      wrote on sidst redigeret af
      #644

      Konsensus 734 mio. kr.

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      • K Offline
        K Offline
        kkjoel
        wrote on sidst redigeret af
        #645

        Fra Q1 Conference Call: Now we know where the rate is today. We can sort of assume where it's likely to go in Q2. Once it gets beyond that, we start looking out sort of 9 months, we know a year ago it was DKK 6.00. I don't know where that rate is going to be in the fourth quarter. And that's a very large portion of our revenue and of our operating result is based on those 2 milestones.

        Also to put into context, if you look at the first quarter, we had the DARZALEX sales and you will have seen

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        • K Offline
          K Offline
          kkjoel
          wrote on sidst redigeret af
          #646

          that the royalty income increased a lot more than the actual underlying base sales from Janssen. So in rough terms, we made about DKK 50 million extra on the FX gain on the royalty in Q1.

          But if you think about it, DKK 50 million on a total revenue over the year of DKK 4.6 billion at this stage it's not material. Then we'll continue to look at that. I mean we like to be transparent. We do put down the rates that we're using. And I know in some of the consensus numbers, people are assuming a

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          • K Offline
            K Offline
            kkjoel
            wrote on sidst redigeret af
            #647

            higher rate.

            The only last thing I'd point out is, don't forget that there is actually European sales of DARZALEX. Those are getting converted into U.S. dollars as Janssen's functional currency. And you will have seen that in the first quarter Janssen reported sales of DARZALEX rest of world increasing by 65%. But on a constant dollar basis, they said it would have been 80%.

            So you do have some sort of round-robin calculation there where you get European euro sales for DARZALEX getting

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            • K Offline
              K Offline
              kkjoel
              wrote on sidst redigeret af
              #648

              converted to U.S. dollars and then getting converted back to kroner which is basically the same as the euro. So just have to be a little careful not to double count the benefit there. But I'll leave it at that.

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              • K Offline
                K Offline
                kkjoel
                wrote on sidst redigeret af
                #649

                Sagt af David Eatwell. Det står da helt klart hvad hans holdning er...

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                • StockBullS Offline
                  StockBullS Offline
                  StockBull
                  wrote on sidst redigeret af
                  #650

                  https://ir.genmab.com/news-releases/news-release-details/genmab-announces-financial-results-first-half-2019-and-updates

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                  • StockBullS Offline
                    StockBullS Offline
                    StockBull
                    wrote on sidst redigeret af
                    #651

                    der er opjustering hehe

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                    • StockBullS Offline
                      StockBullS Offline
                      StockBull
                      wrote on sidst redigeret af
                      #652

                      MDKK Revised Guidance Previous
                      Guidance
                      Revenue 4,800 4,600
                      Operating expenses (2,750) (2,600)
                      Operating income 2,050 2,000

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                      • SolsenS Offline
                        SolsenS Offline
                        Solsen
                        wrote on sidst redigeret af
                        #653

                        50 mln

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                        • BulderB Offline
                          BulderB Offline
                          Bulder
                          wrote on sidst redigeret af
                          #654

                          nå ja lidt har osse ret

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                          • SolsenS Offline
                            SolsenS Offline
                            Solsen
                            wrote on sidst redigeret af
                            #655

                            Jo 2,5%

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                            • K Offline
                              K Offline
                              kkjoel
                              wrote on sidst redigeret af
                              #656

                              Den, pæne, europæiske klump af de 3 mia. vil IKKE give anledning til ændret $-indtjening. Og der er stadig tilpas stor usikkerhed vedr. $-kursen resten af H2.. hvor de 2 store salgsmilestones kommer.

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                              • A Offline
                                A Offline
                                AaBforever
                                wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                #657

                                Børsen har også opdaget det..:-)

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                                • StockBullS Offline
                                  StockBullS Offline
                                  StockBull
                                  wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                  #658

                                  omsætning er opjusteret ca 4.5% så mon ikke 3mia darasalg er hjemme

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                                  • SolsenS Offline
                                    SolsenS Offline
                                    Solsen
                                    wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                    #659

                                    150 mln i ekstra omk

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                                    • K Offline
                                      K Offline
                                      kkjoel
                                      wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                      #660

                                      En opjustering, ok - det overrasker mig - netop pga. af hvad han tidligere har sagt. Men læg mærke til det blot er en symbolsk opjustering.

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                                      • StockBullS Offline
                                        StockBullS Offline
                                        StockBull
                                        wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                        #661

                                        en tand bedre end jeg havde forventet

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                                        • S Offline
                                          S Offline
                                          Schiff
                                          wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                          #662

                                          Det positive er vel at opjusteringen er pga øget royalty indtjening, me
                                          n ja 50 mio ser ret ligegyldigt ud i det store billede

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