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Genmab — Januar 2021

Planlagt Fastgjort Låst Flyttet Genmab
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  • E Offline
    E Offline
    E_L
    wrote on sidst redigeret af
    #653

    I was joking offcourse, but I think that is significantly too low. I think we can breach $400mio this year already.

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    • E Offline
      E Offline
      E_L
      wrote on sidst redigeret af
      #654

      Dara is fully established, it is not a new drug, most MD’s will already have had experience with it and a lot of them even with SC. You can see from the numerous twitter reactions how enthusiastic most MD’s are. It is the first and only therapy and It will go straight to first line.

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      • E Offline
        E Offline
        E_L
        wrote on sidst redigeret af
        #655

        Besides the 4000 new patients expected to get diagnosed this year, there are many currently waiting for new treatment. In addition, amyloidosis is significantly under-diagnosed; I expect that 4000 number to go up over the next few years when MD’s learn what to look for. JNJ already started an awareness campaign.

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        • G Offline
          G Offline
          GeorgeBest
          wrote on sidst redigeret af
          #656

          You convinced me E L. At least 400M $ this year 😄

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          • BulderB Offline
            BulderB Offline
            Bulder
            wrote on sidst redigeret af
            #657

            Peaksale will be significantly greater than $200mio. This source estimates the total market as $6,7bn in 5 years, and with dara as dominant treatment it will easily reach about 1/5-1/4 of MM sales, which already was 4bn last year. https://www.researchandmarkets.com/reports/4661556/amyloidosis-treatment-market-size-share-and

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            • troldmandenT Offline
              troldmandenT Offline
              troldmanden
              wrote on sidst redigeret af
              #658

              So EL what is your total estimate for dara sales i 2021?

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              • Helge_LarsenPI-redaktørH Offline
                Helge_LarsenPI-redaktørH Offline
                Helge_LarsenPI-redaktør
                wrote on sidst redigeret af
                #659

                E L . I knew you were joking. 🙂 I agree that peak sales can easily get much higher.

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                • BulderB Offline
                  BulderB Offline
                  Bulder
                  wrote on sidst redigeret af
                  #660

                  Han mangler et nul: 2000 mio $

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                  • BulderB Offline
                    BulderB Offline
                    Bulder
                    wrote on sidst redigeret af
                    #661

                    om 5 år

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                    • BulderB Offline
                      BulderB Offline
                      Bulder
                      wrote on sidst redigeret af
                      #662

                      For at summe op: Novod regner med 4bn for tepro i thyroid. 3-3½bn for ofa i RMS. Hvis hertil lægges 2 bn for dara i amy, bliver det tilsammen lige så meget som dara i MM.

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                      • E Offline
                        E Offline
                        E_L
                        wrote on sidst redigeret af
                        #663

                        @troldmanden i have +- $5.5bn for this year

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                        • S Offline
                          S Offline
                          Skyggen
                          wrote on sidst redigeret af
                          #664

                          @ Bulder det giver 9-9,5 mia i andre indikationer end dara det kommer dara vel ikke i nærheden af i år eller hvordan vurdere du det 🙂

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                          • BulderB Offline
                            BulderB Offline
                            Bulder
                            wrote on sidst redigeret af
                            #665

                            nej i 2025. Og royalty for tepro (6%)og ofa (10%) er noget mindre end for dara. Dara vil år nærme sig 6 mia i MM og amy tilsammen.Tror jeg.

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                            • BulderB Offline
                              BulderB Offline
                              Bulder
                              wrote on sidst redigeret af
                              #666

                              Salg - ikke royalty - og $

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                              • BulderB Offline
                                BulderB Offline
                                Bulder
                                wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                #667

                                Er der forresten nogen, der ved om royalty-trappen for dara starter forfra ved 12% i den nye indikation?

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                                • G Offline
                                  G Offline
                                  GeorgeBest
                                  wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                  #668

                                  Ved det ikke, men vil tro det er en fælles trappe med MM. Ellers havde vi hørt om det...

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                                  • SolsenS Offline
                                    SolsenS Offline
                                    Solsen
                                    wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                    #669

                                    Det tror jeg bestem ikke. Men muligt JNJ gør det 😉

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                                    • troldmandenT Offline
                                      troldmandenT Offline
                                      troldmanden
                                      wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                      #670

                                      Rolity starter ikke forfra. Trappen opgøres på totalt salg over et regnskabsår

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                                      • troldmandenT Offline
                                        troldmandenT Offline
                                        troldmanden
                                        wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                        #671

                                        EL sounds about right. Moste of that revenue increase will though be eaten up by the dollar

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                                        • S Offline
                                          S Offline
                                          Skyggen
                                          wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                          #672

                                          @ Bulder mange tak for svar 🙂

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