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Genmab — Februar 2021

Planlagt Fastgjort Låst Flyttet Genmab
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  • JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
    JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
    JørgenVarnæs
    wrote on sidst redigeret af
    #1442

    ..and have a look at those comps I mentioned - we don’t have a reason to feel special

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    • E Offline
      E Offline
      E_L
      wrote on sidst redigeret af
      #1443

      Genmab investors should always feel special 😄

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      • StockBullS Offline
        StockBullS Offline
        StockBull
        wrote on sidst redigeret af
        #1444

        Surely interesting with development of MOR, REGN, SGEN similar to Genmab but I would say Genmab have better balance sheet and in that way special with a big tank of money

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        • E Offline
          E Offline
          E_L
          wrote on sidst redigeret af
          #1445

          ECB’s Schnabel: A Rise In Real Long-Term Rates At The Early Stages Of The Recovery May Withdraw Vital Policy Support Too Early And Too Abruptly. ECB May Need To Add Support If Yields Hurt Growth. ECB Still Has 'Some Room' To Cut Interest Rates.

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          • StockBullS Offline
            StockBullS Offline
            StockBull
            wrote on sidst redigeret af
            #1446

            and MOR still got high PE of 95 versus sgen 47 and genmab 29.7 all info from tradingview. Strange

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            • JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
              JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
              JørgenVarnæs
              wrote on sidst redigeret af
              #1447

              Ok - i’ve been diddling with the spreadsheet

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              • JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                JørgenVarnæs
                wrote on sidst redigeret af
                #1448

                First I found the USDDKK rates. I calculated the quarterly FX rate as simple average of the daily averages and i got:

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                • JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                  JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                  JørgenVarnæs
                  wrote on sidst redigeret af
                  #1449

                  Usddkk Q1 6,77, Q2 6,78, Q3 6,37 and Q4 6,24 giving a yearly usddkk rate of 6,54

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                  • G Offline
                    G Offline
                    gentogen
                    wrote on sidst redigeret af
                    #1450

                    Til alm info var min primitive udregning forleden baseret på midtpunktet af 2021 dara salgsestimat = 32.4M (5.4US) og ved at estimere 55% FASPRO fik jeg 17.8M DK, hvoraf 5% så er 890MIO hvoraf Genmabs andel på450mio er 50%. Jeg ved ikke, om man kan regne sådan, men det var et slag på tasken

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                    • JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                      JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                      JørgenVarnæs
                      wrote on sidst redigeret af
                      #1451

                      With that i get a yearly USD royalty of usd 675,5m

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                      • E Offline
                        E Offline
                        E_L
                        wrote on sidst redigeret af
                        #1452

                        for 2020 $4.190?

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                        • JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                          JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                          JørgenVarnæs
                          wrote on sidst redigeret af
                          #1453

                          But i’m a little uncertain about these nos because the Q4 royalty in my calcs is 19,4% (based on usddkk 6,24 and quarterly royalty of dkk 1521m

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                          • JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                            JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                            JørgenVarnæs
                            wrote on sidst redigeret af
                            #1454

                            EL - yes

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                            • JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                              JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                              JørgenVarnæs
                              wrote on sidst redigeret af
                              #1455

                              A yearly royalty rate of 16,12%

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                              • E Offline
                                E Offline
                                E_L
                                wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                #1456

                                are you calculating the USD back from the DKK amounts you had?

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                                0
                                • E Offline
                                  E Offline
                                  E_L
                                  wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                  #1457

                                  this may paste messy, but i'll try:

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                                  • E Offline
                                    E Offline
                                    E_L
                                    wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                    #1458

                                    $750.000.000 12% $90.000.000
                                    $1.500.000.000 13% $97.500.000
                                    $2.000.000.000 16% $80.000.000
                                    $3.000.000.000 18% $180.000.000
                                    $4.190.000.000 20% $238.000.000

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                                    • E Offline
                                      E Offline
                                      E_L
                                      wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                      #1459

                                      Royalties 2020: $685.500.000

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                                      • E Offline
                                        E Offline
                                        E_L
                                        wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                        #1460

                                        hey that is not so bad 😉 Total

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                                        • JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                                          JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                                          JørgenVarnæs
                                          wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                          #1461

                                          With the Q2 once-in-a-lifetime-every-year adjustment we could be talking about the same nos

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