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Genmab — Februar 2021

Planlagt Fastgjort Låst Flyttet Genmab
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  • E Offline
    E Offline
    E_L
    wrote on sidst redigeret af
    #1458

    $750.000.000 12% $90.000.000
    $1.500.000.000 13% $97.500.000
    $2.000.000.000 16% $80.000.000
    $3.000.000.000 18% $180.000.000
    $4.190.000.000 20% $238.000.000

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    • E Offline
      E Offline
      E_L
      wrote on sidst redigeret af
      #1459

      Royalties 2020: $685.500.000

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      • E Offline
        E Offline
        E_L
        wrote on sidst redigeret af
        #1460

        hey that is not so bad 😉 Total

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        • JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
          JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
          JørgenVarnæs
          wrote on sidst redigeret af
          #1461

          With the Q2 once-in-a-lifetime-every-year adjustment we could be talking about the same nos

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          • JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
            JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
            JørgenVarnæs
            wrote on sidst redigeret af
            #1462

            And with the USDDKK being much lower in H2 is seems right my nos are lower than yours

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            • JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
              JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
              JørgenVarnæs
              wrote on sidst redigeret af
              #1463

              ...and look what’s happening in the market right now...

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              • E Offline
                E Offline
                E_L
                wrote on sidst redigeret af
                #1464

                yeah it took out the stops below 2066, first bottom attempt

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                • E Offline
                  E Offline
                  E_L
                  wrote on sidst redigeret af
                  #1465

                  breaking the short term down-trend line from friday. see if that holds now
                  .

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                  • JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                    JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                    JørgenVarnæs
                    wrote on sidst redigeret af
                    #1466

                    Also it seems royalties are calculated on a yearly basis but paid on a quarterly basis - then we must have some sort of regulation somewhere

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                    • E Offline
                      E Offline
                      E_L
                      wrote on sidst redigeret af
                      #1467

                      @gentogen, i used the actual Genmab guidance for a similar excercise, all at fx 6

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                      • E Offline
                        E Offline
                        E_L
                        wrote on sidst redigeret af
                        #1468

                        2021 guidance $5.200.000.000 = dkk5.325.000.000 compared to dkk 4.900.000.000 guided , gives a difference of dkk
                        425.000.000

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                        • E Offline
                          E Offline
                          E_L
                          wrote on sidst redigeret af
                          #1469

                          and similar for the high guidance $5.600.000.000 5.805.000.000 dkk 5.300.000.000 diff
                          505.000.000

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                          • E Offline
                            E Offline
                            E_L
                            wrote on sidst redigeret af
                            #1470

                            now this is on total sales, so we would need to make an assumption what part is Faspro to calculate the missing %

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                            • JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                              JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                              JørgenVarnæs
                              wrote on sidst redigeret af
                              #1471

                              The thing is - GEN does not give us the royalty in USD

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                              • E Offline
                                E Offline
                                E_L
                                wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                #1472

                                well, they gave us the fx rate they use, so we can calculate

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                                • JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                                  JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                                  JørgenVarnæs
                                  wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                  #1473

                                  Where did you find that?

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                                  • E Offline
                                    E Offline
                                    E_L
                                    wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                    #1474

                                    with the fx at 6, royalties fitting to USD 5.2bn, should be DKK5.325bn

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                                    • JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                                      JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                                      JørgenVarnæs
                                      wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                      #1475

                                      Ok - gotcha. I’ve been looking at the quarterly nos. Your approach makes more sense

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                                      • E Offline
                                        E Offline
                                        E_L
                                        wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                        #1476

                                        from
                                        transcript: The 2020 average rate for the dollar-kroner was around DKK6.5 and for 2021 we're assuming a flat DKK6

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                                        • E Offline
                                          E Offline
                                          E_L
                                          wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                          #1477

                                          so we know they assume missing royalties of between 425m and 505m for that particular guidance

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