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Genmab — Februar 2021

Planlagt Fastgjort Låst Flyttet Genmab
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  • JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
    JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
    JørgenVarnæs
    wrote on sidst redigeret af
    #1453

    But i’m a little uncertain about these nos because the Q4 royalty in my calcs is 19,4% (based on usddkk 6,24 and quarterly royalty of dkk 1521m

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    0
    • JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
      JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
      JørgenVarnæs
      wrote on sidst redigeret af
      #1454

      EL - yes

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      0
      • JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
        JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
        JørgenVarnæs
        wrote on sidst redigeret af
        #1455

        A yearly royalty rate of 16,12%

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        • E Offline
          E Offline
          E_L
          wrote on sidst redigeret af
          #1456

          are you calculating the USD back from the DKK amounts you had?

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          • E Offline
            E Offline
            E_L
            wrote on sidst redigeret af
            #1457

            this may paste messy, but i'll try:

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            • E Offline
              E Offline
              E_L
              wrote on sidst redigeret af
              #1458

              $750.000.000 12% $90.000.000
              $1.500.000.000 13% $97.500.000
              $2.000.000.000 16% $80.000.000
              $3.000.000.000 18% $180.000.000
              $4.190.000.000 20% $238.000.000

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              • E Offline
                E Offline
                E_L
                wrote on sidst redigeret af
                #1459

                Royalties 2020: $685.500.000

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                • E Offline
                  E Offline
                  E_L
                  wrote on sidst redigeret af
                  #1460

                  hey that is not so bad 😉 Total

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                  • JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                    JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                    JørgenVarnæs
                    wrote on sidst redigeret af
                    #1461

                    With the Q2 once-in-a-lifetime-every-year adjustment we could be talking about the same nos

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                    • JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                      JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                      JørgenVarnæs
                      wrote on sidst redigeret af
                      #1462

                      And with the USDDKK being much lower in H2 is seems right my nos are lower than yours

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                      0
                      • JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                        JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                        JørgenVarnæs
                        wrote on sidst redigeret af
                        #1463

                        ...and look what’s happening in the market right now...

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                        0
                        • E Offline
                          E Offline
                          E_L
                          wrote on sidst redigeret af
                          #1464

                          yeah it took out the stops below 2066, first bottom attempt

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                          • E Offline
                            E Offline
                            E_L
                            wrote on sidst redigeret af
                            #1465

                            breaking the short term down-trend line from friday. see if that holds now
                            .

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                            • JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                              JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                              JørgenVarnæs
                              wrote on sidst redigeret af
                              #1466

                              Also it seems royalties are calculated on a yearly basis but paid on a quarterly basis - then we must have some sort of regulation somewhere

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                              • E Offline
                                E Offline
                                E_L
                                wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                #1467

                                @gentogen, i used the actual Genmab guidance for a similar excercise, all at fx 6

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                                • E Offline
                                  E Offline
                                  E_L
                                  wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                  #1468

                                  2021 guidance $5.200.000.000 = dkk5.325.000.000 compared to dkk 4.900.000.000 guided , gives a difference of dkk
                                  425.000.000

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                                  • E Offline
                                    E Offline
                                    E_L
                                    wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                    #1469

                                    and similar for the high guidance $5.600.000.000 5.805.000.000 dkk 5.300.000.000 diff
                                    505.000.000

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                                    • E Offline
                                      E Offline
                                      E_L
                                      wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                      #1470

                                      now this is on total sales, so we would need to make an assumption what part is Faspro to calculate the missing %

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                                      • JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                                        JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                                        JørgenVarnæs
                                        wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                        #1471

                                        The thing is - GEN does not give us the royalty in USD

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                                        0
                                        • E Offline
                                          E Offline
                                          E_L
                                          wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                          #1472

                                          well, they gave us the fx rate they use, so we can calculate

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