Rente-kurven
-
Wow, har I set rente-kurven? Den er helt saddelformet! Vildt!
https://twitter.com/MidgardFinance/status/1234967156292497411U.S. 10-year yields drop below 1% for first time ever
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-bonds/us-10-year-yields-drop-below-1-for-first-time-ever-idUSKBN20Q2TDTreasury 10-Year Yield Sets Record Below 1% on Virus Fears
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-03/treasury-yield-curve-steepens-after-fed-cut-meets-expectationsP.S. Helge og team, jeg har ikke vaeret i stand til at indsaette billeder siden i gaar; derfor link til tweet.
P.P.S. Det ville vaere fedt, hvis man 1) kunne indsaette billeder via URL i stedet for via upload og 2) i en ikke-tilfaeldig raekkefoelge. -
Her i 3D:
http://midgardfinance.com/yieldcurve/ -
Bankerne bliver sikkert slaaet yderligere til lirekassemand i morgen pga Powells power punch. I den sammenhaeng vil jeg gerne goere opmaerksom paa banken US Bancorp. Hvis den falder under $35, saa goer man klogt i at koebe med arme og ben. Den lukkede omkring $46 i dag.
Laveste efficiency ratio (jeg har ikke helt faaet dette plot til at spille endnu):
https://www.midgardfinance.com/out/plot/fundamentals/_/banks_us/efficiencyRatio/banks_us_efficiencyRatio_annual_sumFalse.pngROA stabilt over 1% (og blev ikke torpederet under finans-krisen modsat saa mange andre banker):
https://www.midgardfinance.com/out/plot/fundamentals/_/banks_us/ROA/banks_us_ROA_annual_sumFalse.pngNet margin ogsaa fornuftig omkring 30%:
https://www.midgardfinance.com/out/plot/fundamentals/_/banks_us/netMargin/banks_us_netMargin_annual_sumFalse_2020-3.pngBerkshire har haft banken i portefoeljen saa laenge jeg kan huske. Jeg tjekkede lige; siden 1998. Jeg har selv aktien, og jeg saelger aldrig, saa I maa koebe aktierne af et andet endnu stoerre kvaj end undertegnede
http://tommycarstensen.com/finance/berkshire_portfolio.xhtml -
Howard Marks - Nobody Knows II
https://www.oaktreecapital.com/docs/default-source/memos/nobody-knows-ii.pdf
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