Shipping — April 2021
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Dry Bulk (BUY): An unseasonal high earnings environment & a sudden influx of capital into dry bulk shipping equities have propelled our dry bulk share index to multi-year-highs. The orderbook is record-low, & only marginal demand growth is needed to improve an already strong sentiment. Super-cycle is a strong expression, but the probability is increasing each day at the current newbuild ordering trend. The segment remains our top pick within shipping, & we forecast our share index potentially
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+165% over two years
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Capital allocation: We do a few changes to our optimal portfolio since January. We now allocate 45% towards Dry Bulk (40%), 35% towards Oil Tankers (10%), 0% towards LNG Carriers (0%), 15% towards VLGCs (20%) & 5% held in cash / balanced against short positions (30%). Our recommendations have outperformed the shipping market by 386% since 2014, returning 109%. We are still ranked #1 globally on shipping equity research by Bloomberg.
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SCFI containerrater steg 5,2% forgangne uge https://en.sse.net.cn/indices/scfinew.jsp
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Joakim Hannisdahl
@JHannisdahl
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15 t
Baltic #LPG #shipping index +0% to $48/t (TCE $28k/d)#VLGC $AVANCE $AGAS $BWLPG $LPG
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Avance fjerdemest omsatte på den norske børs i dag. Der røg en enkelt post over disken på 2.5 mio aktier. Raterne ser gunstige ud i maj og analytikerne er meget glade på LPG i disse dage.
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Mærsk opjusterer:B
olaget förväntar sig att det justerade ebitda-resultatet för helåret 2021 landar inom intervallet 13 till 15 miljarder dollar, från tidigare guidning på 8,5 till 10,5 miljarder dollar. Det fria kassaflödet för helåret väntas bli över 7 miljarder dollar, från tidigare guidning om över 3,5 miljarder. -
Mærsk opjusterer forventningerne med flere milliarder dollar: https://www.proinvestor.com/investornyt/674439/maersk-opjusterer-forventningerne-med-flere-milliarder-dollar-gent
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Mærsk/Jefferies: Muligvis stadig plads til yderligere opjustering https://www.proinvestor.com/investornyt/674445/maersk-jefferies-muligvis-stadig-plads-til-yderligere-opjustering
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Mine MPCC stiger nok i dag på meldingen fra Maersk. Det er utrolige tal som meldes ud.
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MPCC + 4,35%.
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Joakim Hannisdahl
@JHannisdahl
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1h
Baltic #Capesize index +6% to $37k/d (+$2.1k/d)
RocketBrazil/China +6% to $32k/d
Rocket#DryBulk #Shipping
$DSX $EGLE $GBLK $GNK $GOGL $SBLK
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Joakim Hannisdahl
@JHannisdahl
·
2 t
Baltic #LPG #shipping index +5% to $53/t (TCE $34k/d)#VLGC $AVANCE $AGAS $BWLPG $LPG
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Synes at Avance opfører sig mærkeligt for at sige det mildt. Jeg har længe haft en mistanke om at den vil blive pillet af Børsen, det kan slet ikke svare sig at dele gevinsten med "masserne" der ikke værdsætter aktien højt nok. De kan lave en emi for herefter at købe med arme og ben under emikursen, det giver ingen mening. Efter emi har Petredec øget til 13.9% og Hemen har øget til over 31%, så de fortsætter bare med at købe og der er åbenbart sælgere nok selvom marginerne øges.
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