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  4. Genmab — Januar 2024

Genmab — Januar 2024

Planlagt Fastgjort Låst Flyttet Genmab
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  • JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
    JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
    JørgenVarnæs
    wrote on sidst redigeret af
    #1045

    It seems GEN has spent loads of money on building a commercial organization anyway - so we get both the cost and the downside of reduced ownership

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    • P Offline
      P Offline
      Plimsoller
      wrote on sidst redigeret af
      #1046

      50/50 or similar makes sense to me as all the money in the world can't buy you the expertise of selling and distributing (at least not immediately). I don't think the commercial organisation is mature enough (yet) to get the full benefit out of EPCO.

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      • P Offline
        P Offline
        Plimsoller
        wrote on sidst redigeret af
        #1047

        Maybe they are planning different percentages for the next ones, and that is why they are ramping up.

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        0
        • JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
          JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
          JørgenVarnæs
          wrote on sidst redigeret af
          #1048

          @el - what you are describing seems like a very complex transaction. In Actelion they did something similar - but the difference is in Actelion, the company had retained the commercial rights

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          • JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
            JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
            JørgenVarnæs
            wrote on sidst redigeret af
            #1049

            That was for EL…

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            • E Offline
              E Offline
              E_L
              wrote on sidst redigeret af
              #1050

              no, this is certainly not what Jan wants; he wants going concern

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              • E Offline
                E Offline
                E_L
                wrote on sidst redigeret af
                #1051

                but in case of a take over bid, the bidder could choose to go that way

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                • JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                  JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                  JørgenVarnæs
                  wrote on sidst redigeret af
                  #1052

                  Plimsoller - if GEN does not intend to use the money for development - why keep it?

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                  • E Offline
                    E Offline
                    E_L
                    wrote on sidst redigeret af
                    #1053

                    @Plimsoller everything can be sold, for the right price 😉 -but again, certainly don't see Genmab going that way

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                    • JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                      JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                      JørgenVarnæs
                      wrote on sidst redigeret af
                      #1054

                      Seems very complicated - and a very round about way to juggle usd 15 - 20 billion

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                      • E Offline
                        E Offline
                        E_L
                        wrote on sidst redigeret af
                        #1055

                        it isn't really that complicated, you just sell your rights to the royalties. And as a takeover party you need a lot less cash.

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                        • JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                          JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                          JørgenVarnæs
                          wrote on sidst redigeret af
                          #1056

                          But I’m sure we can agree - if GEN is not sold at this current stock level - it is not going to happen in the foreseeable future

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                          • JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                            JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                            JørgenVarnæs
                            wrote on sidst redigeret af
                            #1057

                            Now you’re assuming Jan is game for that. Hell will freeze over a lot sooner

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                            • JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                              JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                              JørgenVarnæs
                              wrote on sidst redigeret af
                              #1058

                              However, it would be a great way to say - we will neverneverever do business with you again!

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                              • E Offline
                                E Offline
                                E_L
                                wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                #1059

                                Fully agree. But in the end; the shareholders decide, not Jan

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                                • P Offline
                                  P Offline
                                  Plimsoller
                                  wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                  #1060

                                  E L. Well understood - thank you 🙂 I must admit that I don't see that happening. If the H2H results with Dara are positive then JNJ will want to keep it for themselves (maybe not opt in but keep others away), and if they are negative, then the bidder wouldn't be very interested, or would be getting it for very little.

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                                  • JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                                    JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                                    JørgenVarnæs
                                    wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                    #1061

                                    Am I the only one wondering about the silence from GEN?

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                                    • E Offline
                                      E Offline
                                      E_L
                                      wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                      #1062

                                      agree. this is more for the hypothetical case that a potential bidder could decrease this cost price by selling off the CD38 franchise

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                                      • E Offline
                                        E Offline
                                        E_L
                                        wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                        #1063

                                        it is the quiet period JV. You will hear from Jan again after the earnings.

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                                        • JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                                          JørgenVarnæsJ Offline
                                          JørgenVarnæs
                                          wrote on sidst redigeret af
                                          #1064

                                          …and such a transaction would unlock the value of the pipeline.

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